and fundamentally what that means is we won't be relying on opec oil imports by 2020. we're going to rely on canadian imports plus burgeoning u.s. production. that is a major major change in the united states energy picture. >> now mark, one of the things that i've learned from you is that the numbers that we often see are radically understated. the government will put out numbers. it seems like every time they put out numbers they're well behind. what is the disconnect between the numbers that we see officially and what's really going on in the oil patch? and why don't people realize how quickly this change is occurring? >> yes. the dynamic of the change is one that's easy to underestimate. in fact, eog has really underestimated the dynamic of the change. we've raised our production growth forecast for oil three times this year. and that's not because we've been coy with wall street. it's really because we've underappreciated the power of some of these plays. you mentioned earlier for example this eagle ford play, we think that just eog's net of oil discovered in the